Table of contents
Gold Price News: Stable at USD 2565 despite political turbulence
Dr. Mathias Kunze
6 min. | 15.11.2024 | 21:57 EET
Today's gold price and important market developments from 15.11.2024 in the live ticker
Source: ChatGPT (OpenAI)
Gold price at USD 2,565 per troy ounce: Market reacts cautiously
The gold price is trading at USD 2,565 per troy ounce today, a slight decline compared to the previous days. The latest political and economic developments have put the markets in a wait-and-see mode, which is having a direct impact on demand for gold as a safe investment. However, the stability of the price at this level shows that gold continues to be seen as a valuable reserve despite investors' declining risk appetite. Analysts suspect that the cautious market reaction is due to speculation about possible interest rate decisions by the US Federal Reserve. A stronger US dollar increases the cost of gold in other currencies, which puts additional pressure on the price. At the same time, the uncertainties surrounding the newly elected Trump administration are leading to caution among buyers. The nomination of controversial members of government in particular is causing the markets to act cautiously. The geopolitical situation in Europe remains tense, which could support gold as a crisis metal in the short term. Nevertheless, the market is currently characterized by macroeconomic influences and speculative positioning. Today's price trend reflects sensitive market sentiment, which is waiting for clear impetus to trigger new movements.
Trump forms his government: Controversial decisions cause tensions
Donald Trump is forging ahead with the formation of his government and is causing considerable controversy with his personnel decisions. In particular, the appointment of Fox News presenter Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense has met with widespread criticism, as he has neither political experience nor extensive expertise in defense issues. Veterans and representatives of the Pentagon have expressed “shock” at the choice, which is seen as purely politically motivated. According to Trump, Hegseth, an avowed Trump supporter, should stand for a “strong and patriotic defense policy”. Equally controversial is the nomination of arch-conservative Congressman Matt Gaetz as Attorney General, who is polarizing even within the Republican Party due to numerous ethics allegations and his radical positions. Gaetz stands for an aggressive course and a fundamental reform of the Department of Justice, which critics see as another attempt by Trump to secure personal interests. Elon Musk, the designated head of the newly created “Department of Government Efficiency”, is also causing a stir. Musk is supposed to support Trump in implementing structural reforms and spending cuts, but is under scrutiny due to potential conflicts of interest. His role as the head of large companies such as Tesla and SpaceX, which benefit from government subsidies, calls his independence into question. These decisions reflect Trump's focus on loyalty, which calls into question the stability of his cabinet. Analysts see this as a signal of unpredictable and potentially polarizing government policy. The uncertainties surrounding Trump's administration are increasing tensions on the markets and could affect the confidence of international investors.
Ukraine in focus: Military escalation and humanitarian crisis
Ukraine remains at the center of geopolitical tensions, while military escalations and a worsening humanitarian crisis are exacerbating the situation. Russian troops are reported to have made several territorial gains in the Donetsk region, with attacks also reported in the north-eastern city of Kharkiv. Ukrainian forces managed to repel some of the attacks there, but the humanitarian situation remains tense. In Geneva, UN Coordinator Matthias Schmale warned of a possible “tipping point” that could trigger new refugee movements. The increasing number of drone attacks on civilian energy infrastructure is further exacerbating the plight of the population. The European Union is continuing its support: it has provided 300 million euros for the procurement of defense equipment, including air defense systems and ammunition. President Zelensky reiterated the goal of regaining all occupied territories, including Crimea, and announced a ten-point plan to secure Ukraine's internal stability. The geopolitical uncertainty in Ukraine currently has a limited impact on the gold price, as market developments are more strongly dominated by political events in the USA.
European defense readiness: New projects and funding
The European Union is strengthening its defense capabilities by funding five cross-border defense projects. With a total investment of 300 euro million from the EU budget, these initiatives aim to improve cooperation and efficiency among Member States. The projects include the procurement of modern air and missile defense systems, armored vehicles and the production of ammunition. These measures are intended not only to increase military interoperability within Europe, but also to strengthen the European defense industry and better prepare member states for future threats. Joint procurement will allow Member States to benefit from economies of scale and achieve better value for money. These developments could also influence the stability of the gold market in the long term, as increased defense spending often goes hand in hand with an increased need for safe investments.
US court allows lawsuit against Meta: Potential impact on the gold market
A US court has allowed the antitrust authority FTC to file a lawsuit against the internet company Meta - the parent company of Facebook, Instagram and WhatsApp. The lawsuit aims to force Meta to sell parts of its companies due to anti-competitive practices. This legal dispute could trigger significant uncertainty in the technology and stock markets, which traditionally can lead to increased investor demand for safe-haven assets such as gold. The gold market could therefore be indirectly affected if investors increasingly seek refuge in gold due to concerns about the stability of the tech sector and possible regulatory tightening. It remains to be seen how this development will affect market sentiment and the attractiveness of gold as a safe investment in the long term.
Orban's call: Reconsider EU sanctions against Russia
Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban is calling for a review of EU sanctions against Russia in order to reduce energy prices in Europe and improve the competitiveness of European companies. This economic initiative aims to reduce the high cost of electricity and gas, which is a burden on European industries. Orban argues that the current sanctions policies are keeping energy prices artificially high and that an adjustment is necessary to relieve the economy. These statements could lead to political tensions within the European Union. For the gold market, this could mean that increasing uncertainty in the European Union will increase demand for safe-haven assets such as gold, as investors may seek protection from volatile market conditions.
Gold price under the microscope: Technical markers determine the price
The gold price has reached important technical levels that could influence its short-term movement. The gold price is currently stabilizing around the USD 2,565 per troy ounce mark, which is considered a significant support zone. A breach of this threshold could lead to further selling and a potential test of the next support level at USD 2,550. On the upside, resistance at around USD 2,580 is seen as critical for a potential recovery. These technical indicators are crucial for traders and investors to make short-term trading decisions in a volatile market environment.
Prospects for gold: Uncertainties shape expectations
The outlook for the gold market remains characterized by uncertainties, which continue to be influenced in particular by political developments in the US and geopolitical tensions. Despite the recent stabilization of the gold price at USD 2,565 per troy ounce, market sentiment is cautious. Investors are keeping a close eye on how the new political decisions in the US and the geopolitical situation in Ukraine will develop. These factors could serve both as drivers for increased demand for gold as a safe investment and lead to an increase in volatility. In the long term, these global uncertainties could continue to support the gold price as investors look for safe investments.